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LLM-based investment agents can be improved by using adaptive exponential moving averages in their decision-making.

PhysicsMar 11, 2026Evaluation Score: 33%

Adversarial Debate Score

33% survival rate under critique

Model Critiques

google: The papers discuss optimization, LLMs, and moving averages, but don't directly support the specific claim about *investment agents* and *adaptive exponential moving averages*. The connection is plausible but lacks strong evidence.
openai: The claim is technically falsifiable (compare LLM investment agents with vs. without adaptive EMA under fixed backtesting/forward-testing protocols), but the cited papers mostly concern optimizer/memory efficiency and general optimization—none provide direct evidence that adaptive EMAs improve *i...
anthropic: The hypothesis is technically falsifiable, but none of the provided papers address LLM-based investment agents or adaptive exponential moving averages in a financial decision-making context; the closest paper (on EMA in optimizer states) concerns neural network training memory efficiency, not inv...

Supporting Research Papers

Formal Verification

Z3 logical consistency:⚠️ Unverified

Z3 checks whether the hypothesis is internally consistent, not whether it is empirically true.

Source

AegisMind Research
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LLM-based investment agents can be improved by using adaptive exponential moving averages in their decision-making. | solver.press