Utilizing subgraph isomorphism algorithms on protein-protein interaction networks derived from antibiotic-resistant bacterial strains will reveal conserved structural motifs that correlate with specific evolutionary fitness trade-offs.
Adversarial Debate Score
62% survival rate under critique
Model Critiques
Supporting Research Papers
- Pharmacology Knowledge Graphs: Do We Need Chemical Structure for Drug Repurposing?
The contributions of model complexity, data volume, and feature modalities to knowledge graph-based drug repurposing remain poorly quantified under rigorous temporal validation. We constructed a pharm...
- Drug Synergy Prediction via Residual Graph Isomorphism Networks and Attention Mechanisms
In the treatment of complex diseases, treatment regimens using a single drug often yield limited efficacy and can lead to drug resistance. In contrast, combination drug therapies can significantly imp...
- Motif-based filtrations for persistent homology: A framework for graph isomorphism and property prediction
Determining whether two graphs are isomorphic is a fundamental problem with practical applications in areas such as molecular chemistry or social network analysis, yet it remains a challenging task, w...
- The Fitness Cost of Antibiotic Resistance: A Critical Factor in Bacterial Adaptation
Antibiotic resistance often incurs fitness costs that can impair bacterial growth, competitiveness, or adaptability in drug-free environments. However, these disadvantages are frequently offset by com...
Formal Verification
Z3 checks whether the hypothesis is internally consistent, not whether it is empirically true.
This discovery has a Claude-generated validation package with a full experimental design.
Precise Hypothesis
Subgraph isomorphism algorithms applied to protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks constructed from antibiotic-resistant bacterial strains will identify statistically enriched conserved structural motifs (subgraph patterns recurring at frequency ≥2× background in ≥3 independent resistant strains) that show significant correlation (Spearman |ρ| ≥ 0.40, p < 0.05) with quantifiable evolutionary fitness trade-offs — specifically: (1) growth rate penalty (doubling time increase ≥10% vs. susceptible isogenic controls), (2) competitive fitness coefficient in mixed-culture assays, and (3) cross-resistance or collateral sensitivity profiles across ≥2 antibiotic classes. The hypothesis is falsifiable: if no motif class shows frequency enrichment beyond random expectation (permutation-corrected p > 0.05) or if enriched motifs fail to correlate with any measured fitness phenotype, the hypothesis is rejected.
- PRIMARY DISPROOF: Permutation-corrected enrichment analysis (≥1,000 random graph permutations preserving degree sequence) shows no motif class at k=3–7 nodes is overrepresented in resistant vs. susceptible strain networks at FDR < 0.05 across ≥3 strain pairs.
- CORRELATION FAILURE: Even if motifs are enriched, Spearman correlation between motif frequency vector and all three fitness trade-off metrics (growth penalty, competitive fitness, cross-resistance profile) yields |ρ| < 0.25 with p > 0.10 after Bonferroni correction for multiple motif classes tested.
- NON-SPECIFICITY: Enriched motifs are equally present in susceptible isogenic controls at equivalent frequency (Fisher's exact test p > 0.05), indicating motifs reflect general bacterial PPI architecture rather than resistance-specific rewiring.
- ALGORITHMIC ARTIFACT: Motif enrichment disappears when alternative subgraph enumeration algorithms (VF2 vs. nauty vs. FANMOD) are applied to identical networks, indicating results are algorithm-dependent rather than biologically real.
- REPRODUCIBILITY FAILURE: Motif-fitness correlations identified in a discovery cohort (n=10 strains) fail to replicate in an independent validation cohort (n=10 strains, different laboratory of origin) at ρ within 0.15 of discovery estimate.
- CONFOUNDING BY PHYLOGENY: After phylogenetic correction (phylogenetic generalized least squares, PGLS), all motif-fitness correlations lose significance (p > 0.05), indicating shared ancestry rather than convergent selection drives the pattern.
Experimental Protocol
MINIMUM VIABLE TEST (MVT) — 3-phase design targeting 90-day completion:
PHASE A — Network Construction (Days 1–30): Collect whole-genome sequences + experimentally validated PPI data for 20 strains: 10 antibiotic-resistant (≥2 resistance classes each), 10 isogenic or near-isogenic susceptible controls. Species: E. coli (n=8), K. pneumoniae (n=6), P. aeruginosa (n=6). Source networks from STRING v12 (confidence ≥700) filtered to organism-specific experimental evidence. Augment with co-immunoprecipitation data from BioGRID (release 4.4+). Construct strain-specific PPI networks as undirected weighted graphs. Minimum network size threshold: 500 nodes, 1,500 edges per strain.
PHASE B — Subgraph Isomorphism & Motif Enumeration (Days 15–60): Apply VF2++ algorithm (igraph 0.10+ implementation) for exact subgraph isomorphism at k=3,4,5 nodes. For k=6,7, apply FANMOD approximate enumeration (10^6 random subgraph samples). Enumerate all non-isomorphic connected subgraph patterns. Compute motif significance profile (MSP) for each strain: Z-score of observed vs. 1,000 degree-sequence-preserving random networks (Erdős–Rényi null with matched degree distribution). Identify motifs with Z > 2.0 in ≥60% of resistant strains and Z < 1.0 in ≥60% of susceptible controls.
PHASE C — Fitness Phenotyping & Correlation (Days 1–90, parallel): Measure three fitness proxies for all 20 strains: (1) growth rate in LB at 37°C (OD600 kinetics, 24h, n=3 biological replicates); (2) competitive fitness coefficient vs. fluorescently labeled susceptible reference strain (1:1 co-culture, 24h, flow cytometry ratio); (3) cross-resistance/collateral sensitivity profile (MIC panel: 8 antibiotics across 4 classes, EUCAST breakpoints). Compute fitness trade-off vector per strain. Correlate motif frequency matrix (strains × motif classes) with fitness vector using Spearman ρ, FDR correction (Benjamini-Hochberg).
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GENOMIC/PPI DATA:
- STRING v12 database (string-db.org) — organism-specific PPI, experimental evidence channel only; download: protein.links.detailed.v12.0.txt.gz for E. coli K12, K. pneumoniae MGH 78578, P. aeruginosa PAO1 (~2.1 GB total)
- BioGRID v4.4 (thebiogrid.org) — curated physical interactions; BIOGRID-ORGANISM files for target species (~450 MB)
- PATRIC/BV-BRC genome database — complete genome sequences for resistant clinical isolates with AMR metadata (bv-brc.org, AMR phenotype table)
- NCBI SRA: PRJNA729920 (E. coli AMR evolution), PRJNA486481 (K. pneumoniae clinical resistome), PRJNA395765 (P. aeruginosa adaptive evolution) — raw WGS reads for strain-specific network construction
- UniProt reference proteomes (UP000000625 E. coli K12, UP000000265 K. pneumoniae, UP000002438 P. aeruginosa) for protein ID mapping
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RESISTANCE/FITNESS PHENOTYPE DATA:
- EUCAST MIC distributions (eucast.org/mic_distributions) for breakpoint calibration
- PATRIC AMR phenotype table (>67,000 genome-phenotype pairs) for in silico fitness proxy validation
- Published fitness cost datasets: Melnyk et al. 2015 (PNAS, E. coli resistance fitness costs), Vogwill & MacLean 2015 (Proc R Soc B meta-analysis)
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COMPUTATIONAL TOOLS/ENVIRONMENTS:
- igraph 0.10.4 (Python/R) — VF2++ subgraph isomorphism
- FANMOD 2.0 — approximate motif enumeration for k≥6
- NetworkX 3.2 — graph construction and manipulation
- nauty/Traces 2.8.6 — canonical graph labeling for isomorphism classes
- scipy.stats, statsmodels — correlation and permutation testing
- PGLS via R package 'ape' + 'nlme' — phylogenetic correction
- FastTree 2.1 / IQ-TREE 2 — phylogenetic tree construction from core genome alignments
- Prokka 1.14 + Roary 3.13 — genome annotation and pan-genome alignment
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COMPUTE ENVIRONMENT:
- Minimum: 8-core CPU, 64 GB RAM, 2 TB SSD (local workstation viable for MVT)
- Recommended: AWS r6i.4xlarge (16 vCPU, 128 GB RAM) or equivalent HPC node
- GPU: Not required for core algorithm; optional for graph neural network extension
- PRIMARY: ≥3 distinct motif classes (canonical subgraph types) show statistically significant enrichment in resistant vs. susceptible networks (Mann-Whitney FDR < 0.05, Z_R > 2.0) across ≥3 independent resistant strains.
- CORRELATION: ≥1 REM shows Spearman |ρ| ≥ 0.40 with at least one fitness trade-off metric (growth penalty, competitive fitness, or cross-resistance breadth) at Bonferroni-corrected p < 0.05.
- PHYLOGENETIC ROBUSTNESS: ≥1 significant motif-fitness correlation survives PGLS correction (p < 0.05), confirming the signal is not purely phylogenetic.
- CROSS-SPECIES REPLICATION: ≥1 REM replicates in ≥2 of 3 target species, establishing "conserved" status.
- FUNCTIONAL COHERENCE: Hub proteins of ≥1 validated REM are significantly enriched (Fisher's exact p < 0.05) in KEGG resistance pathways or DEG essential genes, providing mechanistic plausibility.
- COMPUTATIONAL REPRODUCIBILITY: Full pipeline produces identical motif enrichment results (Z-scores within ±0.01) across 3 independent runs with fixed random seed.
- EFFECT SIZE: For the strongest motif-fitness correlation, 95% CI of ρ excludes 0.0 and lower bound ≥ 0.20.
- HARD FAILURE — NO ENRICHMENT: Zero motif classes show FDR < 0.05 enrichment in resistant vs. susceptible networks after permutation correction across all k=3–7 tested. Experiment terminates at Step 7.
- HARD FAILURE — NO CORRELATION: All motif-fitness Spearman correlations yield |ρ| < 0.20 or Bonferroni-corrected p > 0.10 across all 3 fitness metrics. Hypothesis rejected.
- HARD FAILURE — PHYLOGENETIC CONFOUND: All nominally significant correlations lose significance (p > 0.05) after PGLS correction, and Pagel's λ > 0.8 for all motif-fitness pairs, indicating pure phylogenetic signal.
- SOFT FAILURE — NETWORK QUALITY: >30% of strains fail minimum network quality thresholds (|V| < 500, |E| < 1,500) even after relaxing STRING confidence to 500, indicating insufficient PPI data for the target organisms.
- SOFT FAILURE — ALGORITHM INCONSISTENCY: Motif enrichment results differ substantially (Pearson r < 0.80 for Z-score vectors) between VF2++ and FANMOD implementations for k=5 (overlap region), suggesting algorithmic artifact rather than biological signal.
- SOFT FAILURE — SPECIES SPECIFICITY: No REM replicates across ≥2 species; all enriched motifs are species-specific, limiting generalizability of the hypothesis to within-species evolution only.
- PARTIAL FAILURE — WEAK EFFECT: Correlations are statistically significant but |ρ| < 0.40 for all motif-fitness pairs, suggesting motif structure explains <16% of fitness variance — statistically detectable but biologically marginal.
12
GPU hours
90d
Time to result
$4,200
Min cost
$18,500
Full cost
ROI Projection
- DIAGNOSTIC TOOL: Motif-based resistance fingerprinting from WGS data could be commercialized as a clinical diagnostic. Market: global AMR diagnostics market projected at $4.8B by 2027 (MarketsandMarkets). A motif-based fitness prediction module could be licensed to existing WGS diagnostic platforms (Illumina, Oxford Nanopore, bioMérieux).
- DRUG TARGET PRIORITIZATION SERVICE: Pharmaceutical companies spend $1–2B per antibiotic development program; a validated computational tool reducing target attrition by 15% = $150–300M value per program. Licensing potential: $5–20M per pharma partnership.
- RESEARCH SOFTWARE: SaaS platform for bacterial PPI motif analysis; target market 500+ AMR research labs globally; subscription model $5,000–20,000/year per institution = $2.5–10M ARR at 10% market penetration.
- GRANT LEVERAGE: Validated proof-of-concept supports NIH R01 applications (NIAID antimicrobial resistance program, $500K–1M/year) and EU Horizon AMR calls (€2–5M). Estimated grant leverage ratio: 10:1 on validation investment.
- BROADER APPLICABILITY: Methodology generalizes to any organism where PPI networks and fitness phenotypes are available — fungal pathogens (Candida AMR, $1.5B market), viral resistance (HIV, HCV), cancer drug resistance. Total addressable market for generalized tool: $50–200M.
🔓 If proven, this unlocks
Proving this hypothesis is a prerequisite for the following downstream discoveries and applications:
- 1graph-neural-network-motif-prediction-amr-evolution
- 2motif-guided-antibiotic-combination-collateral-sensitivity
- 3pan-genome-ppi-rewiring-resistance-trajectory-prediction
- 4synthetic-lethality-mapping-resistance-motif-hubs
- 5phage-therapy-target-identification-via-ppi-motif-disruption
Prerequisites
These must be validated before this hypothesis can be confirmed:
- validated-ppi-network-completeness-eskape-pathogens
- amr-strain-fitness-cost-database-standardized
- subgraph-isomorphism-scalability-benchmark-k7-bacterial-ppi
Implementation Sketch
# ============================================================ # BACTERIAL PPI MOTIF-FITNESS PIPELINE # Subgraph Isomorphism → Motif Enrichment → Fitness Correlation # ============================================================ # --- CONFIGURATION --- CONFIG = { "species": ["Escherichia_coli", "Klebsiella_pneumoniae", "Pseudomonas_aeruginosa"], "n_strains_resistant": 10, "n_strains_susceptible": 10, "string_confidence_threshold": 700, "motif_sizes": [3, 4, 5, 6, 7], # k values "n_null_permutations": 1000, "fanmod_samples": 1_000_000, # for k >= 6 "enrichment_fdr_threshold": 0.05, "correlation_threshold": 0.40, "random_seed": 42 } # --- PHASE 1: NETWORK CONSTRUCTION --- def build_strain_ppi_networks(strain_list, config): """ For each strain: load STRING + BioGRID interactions, filter by confidence, map to strain-specific proteome, return dict of igraph Graph objects. """ networks = {} for strain in strain_list: # Load STRING experimental interactions string_edges = load_string_interactions( organism=strain.species, confidence_min=config["string_confidence_threshold"], evidence_channels=["experimental", "database"] ) # Map to strain-specific proteins via DIAMOND BLASTp strain_proteins = map_proteome_to_string( genome_fasta=strain.genome_path, reference_proteome=strain.species, identity_threshold=0.40, coverage_threshold=0.80 ) # Filter edges to strain-specific proteins strain_edges = [(u, v, w) for u, v, w in string_edges if u in strain_proteins and v in strain_proteins] # Augment with BioGRID biogrid_edges = load_biogrid_interactions(organism=strain.species) all_edges = merge_deduplicate(strain_edges, biogrid_edges) # Build igraph Graph G = igraph.Graph.TupleList(all_edges, weights=True, directed=False) # Quality check assert G.vcount() >= 500, f"Network too small: {G.vcount()} nodes" assert G.ecount() >= 1500, f"Network too sparse: {G.ecount()} edges" networks[strain.id] = G return networks # --- PHASE 2: NULL MODEL GENERATION --- def generate_null_ensemble(G, n_permutations=1000, n_swaps_multiplier=100): """ Maslov-Sneppen edge swap preserving degree sequence. Returns list of n_permutations random graphs. """ null_graphs = [] for i in range(n_permutations): G_null = G.copy() n_swaps = G.ecount() * n_swaps_multiplier G_null = edge_swap_rewire(G_null, n_swaps=n_swaps) # Verify degree sequence preserved assert sorted(G_null.degree()) == sorted(G.degree()) null_graphs.append(G_null) return null_graphs # --- PHASE 3: SUBGRAPH ENUMERATION --- def enumerate_motifs_exact(G, k_values=[3, 4, 5]): """ VF2++ exact subgraph isomorphism for k=3,4,5. Returns dict: {canonical_label: count} """ motif_counts = {} for k in k_values: # Generate all non-isomorphic connected graphs of size k reference_motifs = get_canonical_motifs(k) # nauty-generated for motif_template in reference_motifs: canonical_label = f"k{k}_{motif_template.canonical_hash}" count = count_subgraph_isomorphisms_vf2pp(G, motif_template) motif_counts[canonical_label] = count return motif_counts def enumerate_motifs_approximate(G, k_values=[6, 7], n_samples=1_000_000): """ FANMOD-style random subgraph sampling for k=6,7. Returns dict: {canonical_label: frequency} """ motif_frequencies = {} for k in k_values: # Random subgraph sampling sampled_subgraphs = random_subgraph_sample(G, k=k, n_samples=n_samples) # Canonicalize each sample for sg in sampled_subgraphs: label = nauty_canonical_form(sg) motif_frequencies[label] = motif_frequencies.get(label, 0) + 1 # Normalize to frequency total = sum(motif_frequencies.values()) motif_frequencies = {k: v/total for k, v in motif_frequencies.items()} return motif_frequencies # --- PHASE 4: Z-SCORE COMPUTATION --- def compute_motif_zscore_profile(G, null_ensemble, k_values): """ For each motif class: Z = (observed - mean_null) / std_null """ observed = enumerate_motifs_exact(G, k_values=[k for k in k_values if k <= 5]) observed.update(enumerate_motifs_approximate(G, k_values=[k for k in k_values if k > 5])) null_distributions = {} for null_G in null_ensemble: null_counts = enumerate_motifs_exact(null_G, k_values=[k for k in k_values if k <= 5]) null_counts.update(enumerate_motifs_approximate(null_G, k_values=[k for k in k_values if k > 5])) for motif, count in null_counts.items(): null_distributions.setdefault(motif, []).append(count) z_scores = {} for motif, obs_count in observed.items(): null_vals = null_distributions.get(motif, [0] * len(null_ensemble)) mu, sigma = np.mean(null_vals), np.std(null_vals) z_scores[motif] = (obs_count - mu) / sigma if sigma > 0 else 0.0 return z_scores # --- PHASE 5: ENRICHMENT ANALYSIS --- def identify_resistance_enriched_motifs(resistant_zscores, susceptible_zscores, fdr_threshold=0.05): """ Mann-Whitney U test + BH FDR correction. Returns list of resistance-enriched motif (REM) labels. """ all_motifs = set(list(resistant_zscores[0].keys())) p_values = {} for motif in all_motifs: r_vals = [zs.get(motif, 0) for zs in resistant_zscores] s_vals = [zs.get(motif, 0) for zs in susceptible_zscores] _, p = scipy.stats.mannwhitneyu(r_vals, s_vals, alternative='greater') p_values[motif] = p # BH FDR correction motifs, pvals = zip(*p_values.items()) _, fdr_corrected, _, _ = statsmodels.stats.multitest.multipletests(pvals, method='fdr_bh') # Filter: FDR < threshold AND Z_resistant > 2.0 AND Z_susceptible < 1.0 REMs = [m for m, fdr, z_r, z_s in zip( motifs, fdr_corrected, [np.mean([zs.get(m, 0) for zs in resistant_zscores]) for m in motifs], [np.mean([zs.get(m, 0) for zs in susceptible_zscores]) for m in motifs] ) if fdr < fdr_threshold and z_r > 2.0 and z_s < 1.0] return REMs # --- PHASE 6: FITNESS CORRELATION --- def correlate_motifs_with_fitness(motif_matrix, fitness_matrix, REMs, alpha=0.05): """ Spearman correlation with Bonferroni correction. motif_matrix: (n_strains x n_motifs) DataFrame fitness_matrix: (n_strains x 3) DataFrame [growth_rate, competitive_fitness, resistance_breadth] """ results = [] n_tests = len(REMs) * fitness_matrix.shape[1] for motif in REMs: for fitness_metric in fitness_matrix.columns: rho, p = scipy.stats.spearmanr( motif_matrix[motif], fitness_matrix[fitness_metric] ) p_corrected = min(p * n_tests, 1.0) # Bonferroni results.append({ "motif": motif, "fitness_metric": fitness_metric, "spearman_rho": rho, "p_raw": p, "p_bonferroni": p_corrected, "significant": p_corrected < alpha and abs(rho) >= 0.40 }) return pd.DataFrame(results) # --- PHASE 7: PHYLOGENETIC CORRECTION (R subprocess) --- def run_pgls_correction(motif_vector, fitness_vector, phylo_tree_newick): """ Calls R script for PGLS via subprocess. Returns p-value and lambda estimate. """ r_script = f""" library(ape); library(nlme) tree <- read.tree(text="{phylo_tree_newick}") data <- data.frame(motif={list(motif_vector)}, fitness={list(fitness_vector)}) rownames(data) <- tree$tip.label pgls_model <- gls(fitness ~ motif, data=data, correlation=corBrownian(phy=tree), method="ML") summary(pgls_model)$tTable["motif", "p-value"] """ result = subprocess.run(["Rscript", "-e", r_script], capture_output=True, text=True) p_pgls = float(result.stdout.strip()) return p_pgls # --- MAIN PIPELINE --- def main(): np.random.seed(CONFIG["random_seed"]) # Load strain metadata resistant_strains = load_strain_metadata("resistant", n=10) susceptible_strains = load_strain_metadata("susceptible", n=10) all_strains = resistant_strains + susceptible_strains # Build networks print("Building PPI networks...") networks = build_strain_ppi_networks(all_strains, CONFIG) # Generate null ensembles (parallelized) print("Generating null models...") null_ensembles = {sid: generate_null_ensemble(G, CONFIG["n_null_permutations"]) for sid, G in networks.items()} # Compute Z-score profiles print("Enumerating motifs and computing Z-scores...") zscores = {sid: compute_motif_zscore_profile(G, null_ensembles[sid], CONFIG["motif_sizes"]) for sid, G in networks.items()} # Identify REMs resistant_zscores = [zscores[s.id] for s in resistant_strains] susceptible_zscores = [zscores[s.id] for s in susceptible_strains] REMs = identify_resistance_enriched_motifs(resistant_zscores, susceptible_zscores) print(f"Identified {len(REMs)} resistance-enriched motifs") # Fitness phenotyping (external data loaded from lab measurements) fitness_df = load_fitness_measurements(all_strains) # Build motif frequency matrix motif_df = pd.DataFrame(zscores).T # strains x motifs # Correlate correlation_results = correlate_motifs_with_fitness(motif_df, fitness_df, REMs) significant_pairs = correlation_results[correlation_results["significant"]] print(f"Significant motif-fitness correlations: {len(significant_pairs)}") # Phylogenetic correction for significant pairs phylo_tree = build_core_genome_phylogeny(all_strains) for _, row in significant_pairs.iterrows(): p_pgls = run_pgls_correction( motif_df[row["motif"]], fitness_df[row["fitness_metric"]], phylo_tree ) print(f"PGLS p-value for {row['motif']} ~ {row['fitness_metric']}: {p_pgls:.4f}") # Export results correlation_results.to_csv("results/motif_fitness_correlations.csv", index=False) export_network_visualizations(networks, REMs, "results/cytoscape/") print("Pipeline complete. Results in results/") if __name__ == "__main__": main() # ============================================================ # COMPUTE RESOURCE ESTIMATES: # Network construction: ~2h CPU per strain × 20 = 40h CPU # Null model generation: ~8h CPU per strain × 20 = 160h CPU # Motif enumeration k=3-5: ~4h CPU per strain × 20 = 80h CPU # Motif enumeration k=6-7: ~8h CPU per strain × 20 = 160h CPU # Correlation + PGLS: ~2h CPU total = 2h CPU # GPU: optional GNN extension only = 12h GPU # Peak RAM: 128 GB (null ensemble storage for largest networks) # ============================================================
CHECKPOINT 1 — NETWORK QUALITY GATE (Day 14): Condition: If >6 of 20 strains (30%) fail minimum network quality thresholds (|V| < 500 nodes, |E| < 1,500 edges) even after relaxing STRING confidence to 500 and including co-expression channel → ABORT. Rationale: insufficient PPI coverage makes motif analysis statistically underpowered. Action: pivot to species with better PPI coverage or reduce scope to E. coli only (best-covered organism).
CHECKPOINT 2 — NULL MODEL VALIDATION GATE (Day 28): Condition: If >20% of null network permutations fail degree sequence preservation test (KS test p < 0.05 for degree distribution identity) → ABORT null model approach. Action: switch to configuration model null (igraph.Graph.Degree_Sequence) which guarantees exact degree preservation.
CHECKPOINT 3 — COMPUTATIONAL FEASIBILITY GATE (Day 35): Condition: If k=5 exact enumeration for a single network requires >48 CPU hours → ABORT k=5 exact; switch to FANMOD approximation for k≥5. If k=4 requires >24 CPU hours → ABORT exact enumeration entirely; use FANMOD for all k≥4. Log this as a methodological limitation.
CHECKPOINT 4 — PRELIMINARY ENRICHMENT SIGNAL GATE (Day 50): Condition: Interim analysis on 10 strains (5 resistant, 5 susceptible): if zero motif classes show Z_resistant > 1.5 in ≥3 resistant strains → ABORT full analysis. Rationale: no preliminary signal in half the dataset predicts null result in full dataset with >85% probability. Action: investigate whether network construction methodology is flawed before committing remaining compute budget.
CHECKPOINT 5 — FITNESS DATA QUALITY GATE (Day 45): Condition: If coefficient of variation (CV) for growth rate measurements exceeds 25% across biological replicates for >30% of strains → ABORT fitness correlation analysis. Rationale: noisy fitness data will produce spurious correlations. Action: repeat fitness measurements with additional replicates or switch to published fitness cost data from literature.
CHECKPOINT 6 — MOTIF COUNT GATE (Day 55): Condition: If fewer than 5 motif classes pass the REM criteria (FDR < 0.05, Z_R > 2.0, Z_S < 1.0) → DOWNSCALE to descriptive analysis only; do not proceed to correlation analysis with <5 REMs as multiple testing correction will eliminate all signals. Action: report negative result; investigate whether relaxing thresholds (FDR < 0.10) reveals marginal signal worth reporting.
CHECKPOINT 7 — CORRELATION EFFECT SIZE GATE (Day 70): Condition: If maximum |ρ| across all motif-fitness pairs is <0.25 (explaining <6.25% of fitness variance) → ABORT phylogenetic correction and cross-species replication steps. Rationale: effect sizes this small are not biologically actionable even if statistically significant with larger samples. Report as null/weak result.
CHECKPOINT 8 — BUDGET GATE (Day 60): Condition: If cumulative compute costs exceed $12,000 (65% of full budget) with <50% of planned analyses complete → PAUSE and reassess scope. Options: (a) reduce to single species (E. coli only), (b) reduce k range to 3–5 only, (c) reduce null permutations to 500. Require explicit go/no-go decision before proceeding.